Correction to historical data

The figures on this page have been recalculated. Three corrections, all downward: plays still awaiting their draw are no longer counted as losses; rows written AFTER the draw that evaluates them are excluded (they were historical backfills, not predictions); and the comparison against chance now uses the probability of the play actually proposed, not that of a harder combination. The success criterion is single and stated: the play collected a paying category. Winning does not mean being in profit — EV remains negative by definition.

Updated on August 4, 2026