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Statistics, probability and decision theory — educational content for beginners.
Myths & Number Beliefs

💭 Neapolitan Smorfia: Cultural Treasure, not a Compass for the Lottery
Who hasn't dreamed of a number to play in the Lottery, perhaps after a vivid dream or witnessing an unusual event? In Italy, this practice is often linked to the Neapolitan Smorfia, a true dream dictionary that associates images, events, and people with specific numbers.…

The "Hot" Numbers and Lucky Sequences: The Statistical Illusion in Number Games
How many times have we heard about "hot" numbers, those that seem to appear more often, or lucky sequences, combinations that seem to repeat with unusual frequency? In the world of number games, these beliefs are widespread and fuel hopes, but the mathematical reality is quite…

Debunking the Myth of "Lagging Numbers": The Raw Reality of Mathematics
How many times have we heard phrases like "That number hasn't come out in a while, it must come out next!", or "This sequence of numbers is hot, I'm playing it!". These beliefs, widespread in the world of numerical games like the lottery, Superenalotto, or Lotto, are deeply…

The Math Behind the Illusion: Debunking Number Game Myths
How many times have we heard about "lagging numbers" that "must" come out, or "hot" sequences that seem to have a higher probability? In number games like Lotto or Superenalotto, these popular beliefs are widespread and often influence players' choices. But is there really a…
Le performance passate non garantiscono risultati futuri · EV negativo per definizione · 18+ · adm.gov.it
