Lottomatikai
Blog
Statistics, probability and decision theory — educational content for beginners.
Game Theory & Bias

The Player's Selective Memory: When You Only Remember Wins (and forget the rest)
In everyday life, and even more so in the world of gambling, our mind is a master at creating illusions, often without our knowledge. One of these, subtle and powerful, is confirmation bias. It is not an exception, but an almost universal rule of our way of thinking. This…

⚖ The Unfair Weight: Why a Loss Feels Twice as Heavy as an Equal Win
Have you ever experienced a much more intense discomfort from losing 50 euros than the joy you felt from winning the same amount? If the answer is yes, you are not alone. This phenomenon, deeply rooted in our psychology, is known as loss aversion, a cornerstone concept in…

The Mind's Trap: Understanding the Gambler's Fallacy
Have you ever felt "owed" by luck after a streak of misfortunes? Or thought that, after red has come up so many times in roulette, the next spin must be black? If the answer is yes, you have personally experienced the gambler's fallacy, one of the most insidious and…

L'Illusione del Controllo: Comprendere il Bias del Giocatore nell'Azzardo
Quante volte abbiamo sentito frasi come "è il mio giorno fortunato" o "ora deve uscire per forza"? Nel mondo del gioco d'azzardo, queste espressioni sono all'ordine del giorno e rivelano una profonda incomprensione delle leggi che governano il caso. Non si tratta di…
Le performance passate non garantiscono risultati futuri · EV negativo per definizione · 18+ · adm.gov.it
